Observation One: The Status Quo
A.
National Transition Council in Libya is working hard at bringing democracy to Libya, but it faces structural challenges to setting up democratic institutions, elections, and voter education. It is relying upon the international community for guidance, especially from the NDI and its lessons learned in Iraq.
(Yackee, Susan September 2011) Susan Yackee is a journalist for Voice of America News.
It seems official: the Libyan … really want to get it right.”
B. Libyans want and need assistance from NDI
Campbell, Les, NDI, 5/13/11, http://www.accessdemocracy.org/notes-from-Benghazi-Libya
As we left the Benghazi airport …couldn’t find another one to buy at any price.
Thus the plan:
Resolved: The United States Federal Government should SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE DEMOCRACY ASSISTANCE FOR LIBYA BY SUPPORTING CIVIL SOCIETY AND GOVERNANCE INITIATIVES THROUGH THE NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC INSTITUTE.
Water Advantage
Libya Sits on the World’s Largest Aquifier, Gateway to the World’s Most Valuable Resource
(Chengu 11)
Garika Chengu, September 6, 2011 Tuesday 11 (September 6, “Observer says Libya's strategic location reason for West's intervention”, lexis, d)
Text of report by London-based opposition newzimbabwe.com
website on 6 September [Commentary by Garikai Chengu: "Libya: Scramble for Arms Deals, Gas, Oil and Water"]
People who think that the … bonanza for American arms dealers.
B. Democratic Control of Aquifier is Key to Regional Stability
(Russeau 11)
Simba Russeau May 27, 2011 Friday Water Emerges as a Hidden Weapon BYLINE: Simba Russeau 11 (Simba Russeau, May 27, “”, lexis, d)
With only five percent of the … in this struggle," says Athanasiadis.
C. Water resources are limited, water wars are beginning
(Moscow News 11)
Moscow News, August 25, 2011 (“Dying for Water”, Moscow News SECTION: INTERNATIONAL words lexis, d)
Many different rituals are performed … malicious thoughts or vulgar words
D. Water shortages will cause global war
Water War, DATELINE 11 (Lucas Liganga, August 23 2011, “MPs – Water Woes Could Spark War”, lexis, I).
Members of Parliament on … aimed at protecting the key resource.
E. Water Shortages Cause terrorism
Ben Sutherland March 18 2003 ,”Water shortages 'foster terrorism.” BBC News.
A lack of water is a key … must do more with little water."
Oil Advantage
Oil shocks are coming. There’s a lack of new production
(Drum 11)
Drum 8/26/2011
(Kevin, Mother Jones, “Our Oil-Constrained Future”, http://motherjones.com/kevin-drum/2011/08/our-oil-constrained-future)
I've talked a few times … recovers, the cycle starts all over.
B. Libyan oil will serve as a key buffer for struggling economies as long as the country remains stable. (Huang 11)
Huang 8/24/11
Ryan, Singapore News, “Oil Prices to Soften: Analysts”, http://www.channelnewsasia.com/stories/singaporebusinessnews/view/1148740/1/.html
SINGAPORE: From the Arab … the turmoil in financial markets.
c. US democratic support key to oil stability – most expertise and experience
Margon 8/22/11
(Sarah, Associate Director for Sustainable Security at American Progress, 2011, “Libya Will Still Need Help After Qaddafi’s Departure”, http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2011/08/libya_next_stage.html)
The situation in Tripoli remains … for accountability and reconciliation.
d. Continued oil shocks and high oil prices will drive millions more into poverty
Hammond 2008
(Andrew, Reporter for Reuters, “High oil prices hitting poor nations-UK Minister”, GUARDIAN.CO.UK, http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/feedarticle/7586433, June 14, 2008)
High oil prices are hitting … who are hardest hit by rising fuel costs."
E. Poverty Is The Biggest Impact That Exists – Its Effects Are The Same As An Ongoing Nuclear War Against The Poor
Abu-Jamal 1998
(Mumia, Peace Activist, “A Quiet and Deadly Violence,” FLASHPOINTS, September 19, 1998, available online at http://www.flashpoints.net/mQuietDeadlyViolence.html, accessed 6/30/07)
This form of violence, not … decade, throughout the world. [Gilligan, p. 196]
TERRORISM ADVANTAGE
A. Al Qaeda is betting on the failure of the Arab spring in Libya. They will flood the region of long term instability sets in.
Zarate and Gordon 11
( Juan, Senior Adviser @ CSIS and the former Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, and David, Program Manager and a Research Assistant with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, The Battle for Reform with al-Qaeda, http://www.twq.com/11summer/docs/11summer_Zarate_Gordon.pdf, JOB)
What if the aspirations of the …nd regain its relevance
B.Libya needs the US to prevent it from becoming a haven for al-Qaeda
Fabri, 8/24/11
http://www.presstv.ir/detail/195579.html Malek, LDP,
Malek: I just want to add, concerning the capture of Mohammad Gaddafi and his brother Seif al-Islam, that they both were captured and released after that, they were released by the revolutionaries, by the al-Qaeda, as a part of a deal they struck with Gaddafi; Gaddafi gave them power and they are looking after him and his family.
Now regards to the West, … whole Mediterranean region.
C.Terrorism Leads to Extinction
Alexander 2003
(Yonah, Washington Times, August 28, LN)
Last week's brutal suicide … global security concerns.
OBSERVATION 2: Solvency
a. Our democracy assistance would take the form of technical experts to assist in the organization of elections and the building of democratic institutions. This is what the NTC is asking for and the US is in a unique position to provide this support. (AUJULI 11)
Aujali , 9/12/2011
By Ali Suleiman, Published: September 12
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/building-a-free-libya/2011/09/08/gIQA8OPvNK_story.html
Ali Suleiman Aujali is Libya’s ambassador to the United States. He was previously the official representative of National Transitional Council to the United States.
The NTC could not have achieved … foreign policy, it's about colleagues."
B.US involvement is critical to the success of the Libyan transition. (Solomon 11)
Solomon 8/24/2011
(Daniel, Georgetown University African Studies Program Research Assistant and Former Intern at the US Department of State, 2011, “Pulling The Strings From Behind The Curtain”, http://www.policymic.com/article/show/id/1466/op/yes
As a post-Gaddafi era emerges, … engagement in stabilization and reconstruction.
C.US credibility as propagator of freedom is at an all-time low. libya right now views the us as close ally in attaining its inalienable rights. turning our back on them now sentences us reputation in the region to a self-fish death, a hypocrisy of freedom
Hamid 8/26/2011
(Shadi, Director of research at the Brookings Doha Center and fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution, “Libya may be in America's vital interest after all”, http://globalpublicsquare.blogs.cnn.com/2011/08/26/libya-may-be-in-americas-vital-interest-after-all/)
Libya is perhaps the first of …assist its political transition.
IMPACT: If the US loses standing in the middle east it undermines everything America stands for—the experiment in freedom and democracy will fail. We have a moral imperative to support populations overthrowing chains of authoritarianism or else doom all peoples of the world to inaccess to their inalienable rights. If America fails, all people fighting for democracy lose hope in ever attaining freedom. We aren’t promoting American forms of democracy. We’re supporting the human desire for freedom.
(Smith, Tray. March 23, 2011. Editor of The Crimson White, Alabama News Publication.)
Perhaps he also recognizes that … functioning, democracy in Iraq.
Non-democratic nations kill their own people. Causes genocide and other forms of mass murder.
(Lynn-Jones, Sean. 1998. Belfer Center for International Affairs)
Second, America should … violence to repress opponents.31
No action without US; American involvement galvanizes allied action.
Loescher expert on international refugee policy, Professor at the Refugee Studies Centre, Queen Elizabeth House, University of Oxford, August 1996, Gil, Beyond Charity: International Cooperation And The Global Refugee Crisis A Twentieth Century Fund Book, pg. 107
United States is still the only nation … can enable the UN to meet the expectations invested in it.