Inherency
Bahrainian democracy advocates are calling for U.S. intervention now—the plan is key to U.S. perception in the opposition party and stifling the spread of Saudi-Iranian proxy wars.
Leigh 11 (Karen, June 08, U.S. and Bahrain: How to Talk Just Tough Enough with an Ally, http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8599,2076559,00.html, BH)
The and BahrainHow to Talk Just Tough Enough with an Ally
Bahrain’s ruling family has dodged international crackdown for their oppressive actions—a lack of U.S. intervention is causing more hostility in the region, but the United States arbitration can still solve now.
Washington Post on Sunday (Bahrain needs attention now, Sunday 10/09/11, http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/bahrain-needs-us-attention-now/2011/09/09/gIQAjoH9FK_story.html)
Plan Text: The United States Federal Government should substantially increase democracy assistance by arbitrating inclusive talks between the Al Khalifa royal family and the Shiite opposition party in Bahrain.
Solvency
Negotiations addressing the issues announced by the Crown Prince key to long term stability
International Crisis Group 2011
(an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organisation committed to preventing and resolving deadly conflict 6 April 2011 “POPULAR PROTESTS IN NORTH AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST (III): THE BAHRAIN REVOLT” Middle East/North Africa Report N°105)
US arbitration solves
The Weekly Wire (legislation) September 12, 2011http:pomed.org/wordpress/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Weekly-Wire-12-September-2011.pdf
US is key – critical to exert pressure on the government and generate dialogue which prevents the Shiites from allying with Iran
International Crisis Group 11 7/28/11 [The International Crisis Group (Crisis Group) is an independent, non-profit, non-governmental organization, with some 130 staff members on five continents, working through field-based analysis and high-level advocacy to prevent and resolve deadly conflict, “POPULAR PROTEST IN NORTH AFRICA AND THE MIDDLE EAST (VIII): BAHRAIN’S ROCKY ROAD TO REFORM”, http://www.crisisgroup.org/~/media/Files/Middle%20East%20North%20Africa/Iran%20Gulf/Bahrain/111%20Popular%20Protest%20in%20North%20Africa%20and%20the%20Middle%20East%20VII%20%20Bahrains%20Rocky%20Road%20to%20Reform.pdf, CMR]
US pressure will successfully force change in the Bahraini government
Diwan, ’11 [Kristin Smith Diwan, Assistant Professor, School of International Service, American University, Interviewer: Bernard Gwertzman, Consulting Editor, CFR.org, “Un-Unified Oppositions in Bahrain and Yemen”, March 23, http://www.cfr.org/middle-east/un-unified-oppositions-bahrain-yemen/p24464, CMR]
Transition to constitutional monarchy solves Bahrain stability and Iranian influence
Al-Tamimi June 19, 2011 Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi intern for the Middle East Forum, student at Brasenose College, Oxford University “Bahrain: Can The U.S. Do Anything?”
Bahrain and Saudi Arabia will still cooperate with the US even if the plan angers them because they put their interests first
Dunne ‘4 Michele Durocher Dunne a visiting scholar in the Democracy and Rule of Law Project at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace “INTEGRATING DEMOCRACY PROMOTION INTO U.S. MIDDLE EAST POLICY” Carnegie Endowment for International Peace http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2004/10/01/integrating-democracy-promotion-into-u.s.-middle-east-policy/2ys MM
ADV 1 Universal Rights
Voices are still being silenced in Bahrain—police brutality means freedom of speech is nonexistent for the opposition. USA Today this morning:
Clashes erupt in Bahrain after protester funeral, USA Today, 16/09/10, http://www.usatoday.com/news/world/story/2011-09-16/bahrain-unrest/50431470/1
The Bahrainian government is projecting an eerie artifice of legitimacy—the protesters are being dehumanized by a monarchy that doesn’t value it’s people.
LA Times 11 (After crushed protests, Bahrain is accused of increased oppression of Shiites, http://articles.latimes.com/2011/may/11/world/la-fg-bahrain-shiites-20110502 May 11, 2011|By Jeffrey Fleishman, Los Angeles Times )
IMPACTS
D.) THE DEHUMANIZING MOTIVATIONS THAT LEGITIMIZE AND FOSTER HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES, LIKE THOSE INFLICTED UPON THE OPPOSITION IN BAHRAIN, IS AT THE ROOT CAUSE OF WAR AND CONFLICT. IT PERMEATES ALL ATROCITIES AND UNTIL IT IS ADDRESSED WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A CYCLE OF SUFFERING AND VIOLENCE.
BERUBE ’97 (David, Ph.D. in Communications, “Nanotechnological Prolongevity: The Down Side”, NanoTechnology Magazine, June/July 1997, p. 1-6, URL: http://www.cla.sc.edu/ENGL/faculty/berube/prolong.htm
E.) ADDITIONALLY, THE AFFIRMATIVE TAKES A SPECIFIC STANCE AGAINST THE HUMAN RIGHTS ABUSES THAT ARE CARRIED OUT EVERY DAY IN BAHRAIN. THIS RECOGNITION OF THE PLAN IS CRITICAL AS IT IS THE LANGUAGE OF RIGHTS THAT EMPOWERS PEOPLE’S MOVEMENTS TO MAKE DEMANDS UPON THEIR SOCIETIES.
BAXI, 1998( “Voices of Suffering and the Future of Human Rights,” 8 Transnat'l L. & Contemp. Probs. 125, lexis) LAW PROFESSOR AT UNIV. OF WARWICK, AND DEAN, FROM DELHI UNIV. LAW, IN
Advantage Two: Fifth Fleet
Fifth Fleet will leave Bahrain absent stability; key to check Iranian influence and protect oil transports
The Australian 7-21-11 (“US fleet may quit troubled Bahrain”, http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/us-fleet-may-quit-troubled-bahrain/story-e6frg6so-1226098580227, SRM)
Fifth Fleet key to check Iranian takeover of Bahrain
WSJ 2-18-11
(“U.S. Takes Cautious Line on Fifth Fleet’s Base”, http://online.wsj.com/article/ SB10001424052748703561604576150662599202064.html, SRM)
Iran takeover of Bahrain leads to direct Saudi-Iran war with American draw-in
NYT 3-19-11
(“The Proxy Battle in Bahrain”, http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/20/weekinreview/ 20proxy.html?pagewanted=all, SRM)
Leads to World War III, threatens humanity
Chossudovsky 07 (Michel, prof of econ @ University of Ottowa, 1/21, “The Unthinkable: The US-Israeli Nuclear War on Iran”, http://www.globalresearch.ca/index.php?context =viewArticle&code=CHO20070121&articleId=4536, SRM)
Fifth Fleet leads international anti-piracy force and deters piracy in the Straits of Hormuz
CBS News 10 (9/7, “U.S. To Lead Anti-Piracy Naval Patrols”, http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2009/01/08/world/main4708429.shtml, SRM)
Piracy will collapse the global economy
Jerusalem Post 2008 (“Column One: Civilization walks the plank,” http://www.jpost.com/servlet/Satellite?apage=1&cid=1226404794131&pagename=JPost%2FJPArticle%2FShowFull) Bankey
Pirates plan on scourging Hormuz tankers during upcoming monsoon season; sharply increasing oil costs
Bloomberg 11 (6/15, “Pirates May Target Hormuz Tankers in Monsoons, Risk Adviser AKE Group Says”, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-15/pirates-may-target-hormuz-tankers-in-monsoons-risk-adviser-ake-group-says.html, SRM)
Oil markets can’t adapt to blocks in the Straits of Hormuz—price hikes would be inevitable
Gholz and Press, 10 * Associate professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas at Austin, AND Associate professor of government at Dartmouth College and coordinator of War and Peace Studies at the John Sloan Dickey Center for International Understanding (Eugene and Daryl G., Security Studies, “Protecting “The Prize”: Oil and the U.S. National Interest”, 19: 3, 453 — 485 http://www.luiss.it/mes/wp content/uploads/2010/02/SecurityStudies_ProtectingThePrizeOilandtheUSNationalInterest.pdf SW)
Note: Tables removed
Oil shocks empirically collapse growth—Kill consumption and spike inflation
Roubini & Setser 4 (Nouriel Roubini, Professor of Business, Brad Setser, Research Associate, Global Economic Governance Programme, University College, Oxford, August 2004, online)
Extinction
Bearden 2000 (Lt. Col Thomas E. Bearden, PhD, MS, BSCo-inventor - the 2002 Motionless Electromagnetic Generator - a replicated overunity EM generator Listed in Marquis' Who'sWho in America, 2004)
