Contention 1: INHERENCY

Currently, there is foundation or schedule for training future Libyan police forces

Nordland ‘11, (Libya to fold militias into police, military September 04, 2011|By Rod Nordland, New York Times)

TRIPOLI, Libya - Libya’s interim government said

AND

, Mahmoud Jibril, remains outside of Libya.

Plan Text

The United States federal government should fund and establish an office of security cooperation in Libya through which The United States will offer programs designed to train Libyan police forces.

Advantage 1: Rogue Weapons

A capable police force can solve for missing stockpiles of weapons.

Brookes ‘11 (Peter Brookes, September 1, 2011, Libya Woes Not Over

http://www.aim.org/guest-column/libya-woes-not-over/)

There’s no shortage of problems to be tackled

AND

to the shores of Tripoli in the west.

Scenario 1: Conventional Weapons

The proliferation of Gadhafi’s conventional weapons leads to a failed state.

Choksy ‘11(  professor of Central Eurasian, Indian, Iranian, Islamic, International, and Religious studies and former director of the Middle Eastern Studies Program at Indiana University, For a New Libya, Major Challenges Lie Ahead, 24 Aug 2011, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9869/for-a-new-libya-major-challenges-lie-ahead)

The rebels' success would not have been possible

AND

to prevent yet another failed state from arising. 

The threat of a failed state affect the globalized world.

US Joint Forces Command ‘10 (The Joint Operating Environment http://www.scribd.com/doc/54145376/22/The-Middle-East-and-Central-Asia)

Weak and failing states will remain a condition

AND

complex set of difficult scenarios and potential adversaries.

The impact is genocide.

US Joint Forces Command ‘10 (The Joint Operating Environment http://www.scribd.com/doc/54145376/22/The-Middle-East-and-Central-Asia)

One of the most troubling and frighteningly common

AND

differences create the potential for large scale atrocities.

Scenario 2: WMD’s

Without monitoring Libyan WMD materials will end up in the hands of terrorists which leads to US intervention.

Choksy ‘11(  professor of Central Eurasian, Indian, Iranian, Islamic, International, and Religious studies and former director of the Middle Eastern Studies Program at Indiana University, For a New Libya, Major Challenges Lie Ahead, 24 Aug 2011, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9869/for-a-new-libya-major-challenges-lie-ahead)

Parallel to concerns over conventional military hardware is

AND

the former Warsaw Pact and Soviet Union regions.

US Intervention would have devastating consequences

Kinzer 11 (Stephen [former New York Times reporter and the author of Overthrow: America's Century of Regime Change from Hawaii to Iraq (2006) and Reset Middle East: Old Friends and New Alliances: Saudi Arabia, Israel, Turkey,Iran (2011)] “Why the US must not intervene in Libya” The Guardian, March 9, 2011.  

The US is fighting two wars in Muslim

AND

forces into fighting another long-term insurgency.

The impact is extinction.

Purver, 2k (ron, strategic analyst at Canadian Security Intelligence Service, “THE THREAT OF CHEMICAL/BIOLOGICAL TERRORISM,”http://www.csis-scrs.gc.ca/ eng/comment/com60_e.html)

One of the principal advantages of CB weapons

AND

, 1992, pp. 95-119.)

Advantage 2: Oil

Instability Threatens Libyan Oil.

News Wires ‘11 (Oil prices soar for a second day as unrest threatens Libyan supply 2/21/2011

 http://www.france24.com/en/20110221-libya-turmoil-sends-oil-prices-rise-commodities-opec)

Oil prices soared Tuesday amid deadly violence in

AND

day to the oil market," he said.

Local stability needed for Oil Production to increase.

Morse and Lee ‘11, (EDWARD L. MORSE heads global commodity research at Citi. ERIC G. LEE is a research analyst at Citi. The Libyan Oil Trap. http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/68245/edward-l-morse-and-eric-g-lee/the-libyan-oil-tap)

When the unrest in Libya began this spring

AND

was assassinated, supposedly by another rebel faction.

An increase in the price of oil would cause a recession

Davis&Diaz 08 - * member of The Vanguard Group and National Bureau of Economic Research **member of the Vanguard group (7/1/08,  Financial Planning, “Oil: Cause and Effects”, access via lexis)

The U.S. economy would have

AND

depreciation of the U.S. dollar.

Extinction

Bearden 2000 (Lt. Col Thomas E. Bearden, PhD, MS, BSCo-inventor - the 2002 Motionless Electromagnetic Generator - a replicated overunity EM generator Listed in Marquis' Who'sWho in America, 2004)

Just prior to the terrible collapse of the

AND

or some modified version of it, resulting.

US must supply police force to ensure stability necessary to secure oil.

After Gaddafi, a country to build

WEDNESDAY, 07 SEPTEMBER 2011 00:00 ANONYMOUS

http://www.businessdayonline.com/NG/index.php/editorial/26932-after-gaddafi-a-country-to-build

Yet no one should underestimate how difficult it

AND

first time – for Libyans themselves to shape.

Contention 2: Solvency

An impartial police force needs to be established to maintain peace in Libya.

Choksy ‘11(  

AND

, as was the case in the Balkans.

The United States plays a key role in establishing a stable police force in Libya.

and  ‘11 (JAMES DOBBINS director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the RAND Corporation. FREDERIC WEHREY is a senior policy analyst at RAND, With Qaddafi's ouster imminent, the West must plan for post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction. Foreign Affairs, August 23, 2011)

In Libya, as in Bosnia, Kosovo

AND

probably not participate heavily in such an effort.

Lessons learned from the war in Iraq put the US in a unique position to train the new Libyan police force

Traub ’11 (James [James Traub is a contributing writer for the New York Times Magazine and author of, most recently, The Freedom Agenda. "Terms of Engagement,"] “The Hard Part” Foreign Policy, March 25, 2011.  )

Larry Diamond, a Stanford scholar who served

AND

civic administration as well as security and policing.

US action key - Failure means other allies pay in blood!

Cordesman ’11

(Anthony [Anthony H. Cordesman holds the Arleigh A. Burke Chair in Strategy at CSIS and acts as a national security analyst for ABC News. He is a recipient of the Department of Defense Distinguished Service Medal. During his time at CSIS, he has completed a wide variety of studies on energy, U.S. strategy and defense plans, the lessons of modern war, defense programming and budgeting, NATO modernization, Chinese military power, the lessons of modern warfare, proliferation, counterterrorism, armed nation building, the security of the Middle East, and the Afghan and Iraq conflicts.] “Next Steps in Libya (Egypt, Tunisia, and Other States with New Regimes)” Center for Strategic & International Studies, August 22, 2011. http://csis.org/publication/next-steps-libya-egypt-tunisia-and-other-states-new-regimes)

Qaddafi’s fall is certain to be accompanied by

AND

eventually be paid in US and allied blood.

The aff is a modest plan designed to bolster Libya’s ideas – we are not an example of overreaching or intervention

Giridharadas, columnist for the NYT, 8-26-11

[Anand, For Libya, a Light Hand May Be Best, http://anand.ly/articles/for-libya-a-light-hand-may-be-best]

"Watching Libya today, Mr. Stewart remembers things:

AND

Acquiring the capability to differentiate between wheat and chaff in this arena is going to be critical.”

Obama is jobs bill or bust: thumps their scenario.

“Obama stands his ground on jobs tour” By JAKE SHERMAN & GLENN THRUSH | 9/9/11 6:38 PM EDThttp://www.politico.com/news/stories/0911/63129.html

President Barack Obama preaches compromise

AND

and still lose the larger battles of righting the economy and winning in 2012.

Relations Low

Relations at an all time low
Herald, 2011 (International Herald Tribune, 3-19, "For Obama, Bahrain is Mideast's hottest spot; Region in Revolt" LEXIS, SRM)
The brutal crackdown in Bahrain poses the greatest
AND
since Mr. Mubarak was forced from office.

Saudi prolif deters Iran nuclearization

Lalwani 2008 (Sameer, “Another Take on Saudi Arabia's Nuclear Agenda,” June 10/
http://www.thewashingtonnote.com/archives/2008/06/another_respons)
Finally, though its true that nuclear assistance
AND
in to assume the role of nuclear patron.

Iranian proliferation leads to Israeli launch and nuclear war

Schoenfeld 1998 (Gabriel, the senior editor of Commentary, Commentary, LEXIS)
Now, once again, the question has
AND
a no less heavy toll on civilian morale.

Saudi prolif is inevitable and secures Middle East instability by deterrence

Blank 2003 (Stephen, analyst of international security affairs, “Saudi Arabia's nuclear gambit,” Asia Times)
Another consideration is
AND
could trigger a world conflagration." (44)

Perm Do Both – multilateral support preferred by Libyan people.

Brooke 2011, ( James Brooke, Moscow Bureau Chief, Voice of America, September 02, 2011 Libya Turns From Africa to the West, http://www.voanews.com/english/news/africa/Libya-Turns-From-Africa-to-the-West-129119088.html)
Moammar Gadhafi’s Libya was known for cultivating support
AND
Libya has changed, and Libyans have changed.

Solvency deficit – EU sucks when it comes to security issues and are dependent on US leadership – perm solves

Walsh ’11
(Eddie [staff writer for The Diplomat] “China in Syria Series (V)” The Diplomat, September 7, 2011. http://the-diplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2011/09/07/china-in-syria-series-v/)
Dr Frans-Paul van der Putten (
AND
States and therefore to be taken seriously.’

EU bad - US preferred – Perception

Walsh ’11
(Eddie [staff writer for The Diplomat] “China in Syria Series (V)” The Diplomat, September 7, 2011. http://the-diplomat.com/flashpoints-blog/2011/09/07/china-in-syria-series-v/)
What impact has the Libyan military intervention had
AND
trying to play a role they can’t.’

The US needs to provide assistance and help Libya learn to patrol the streets – key to avoid collapse and preserve US leadership

Quinn 8-23-11 [Andrew, Reuters, Libya's next phase carries risks for United States, http://in.reuters.com/article/2011/08/23/idINIndia-58915920110823]
The White House
AND
to be involved." 

Leadership prevents war, spreads democracy and peace, protects human rights, and encourages economic cooperation and growth.

Thayer 6 Associate Prof, Department of Defense & Strategic Studies at Missouri State University
[Bradley, In Defense of Primacy, The National Interest, December (lexis)November 10, 2006 http://nationalinterest.org/article/in-defense-of-primacy-1300, accessed June 29. 2011
THROUGHOUT HISTORY, peace and stability have been
AND
military technology, helping to ensure military prowess. 

Our Framework- Plan should be weighed against the alternative as a competing policy option

Their framework makes extinction inevitable- viewing survival as the first priority before all is key.

Schell, 1982 (Jonathan, prof. at Wesleyan U, Fate of the Earth, pg. 129-30)
For the generations that now have to decide
AND
the interest of the one who commits it.

Prioritizing Epistemology/Ontology creates a vacuous and inaccurate conception of international relations

Owen 2 David Owen Professor of Social & Political Philosophy @ U Southampton “Re-orienting International Relations: On Pragmatism, Pluralism and Practical Reasoning” Millennium - Journal of International Studies 2002 31: 653 Sage Journals Online MM
Pictures, Illusions and the Threat of Theoreticism
AND
, and so a potentially vicious circle arises. 

Perm solves.  We provide resources for indigenous democracy initiatives specifically appropriate  for Libya,  This resists orientalism

Akcapar, et. al., 08, Head of Strategic Planning Department at the Directorate General for Policy Planning, Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Burak, The Debate on Democratization in the Broader Middle East, http://myweb.sabanciuniv.edu/ayse/files/2008/11/Istanbul-Paper.pdf, p. 15
The key to democratization in the region is
AND
with the support of similar institutional international mechanisms.

Our advocacy critiques and undermines authoritarianism, which was a product of orientalism.

Halabi, Doctoral candidate in the Graduate School of International Studies, University of Denver, Denver, 1999
Yakob, International Studies, 36.4 (1999):  377-392, p. 380
It examines the orientalist ideas that channeled US
AND
, jeopardize the oil market and world economy. 

Discursive analysis leads to political paralysis and fails to change the world.

Jarvis ‘00 (Darryl Jarvis is an Associate Professor of International Relations at the University of British Columbia, International relations and the challenge of postmodernism, p. 190
The simple and myopic assumption that social change
AND
perversely as the search for "thinking space."

Policy comes before discourse

Ó Tuathail September 25, 2003 Gearóid Ó Tuathail (Gerard Toal), Department of Geography, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, “THE PATTERNED MESS OF HISTORY AND THE WRITING OF CRITICAL GEOPOLITICS: A REPLY TO DALBY.” http://www.nvc.vt.edu/toalg/Website/Publish/miscellaneous/DalbyResponse.htm
Dalby's third point builds upon what he suggests
AND
to the patterned mess that is human history. 

2AC A/T NEOLIBERALISM KRITIK - (

1. NO LINK: WE ARE NOT A NEOLIBERALIST INTERVENTION IN THE NAME OF DEMOCRACY. THE PLAN ONLY SETS UP MODES OF COOPERATION WHEN ASKED.
   2. PERM DO BOTH: EITHER THE ALTERNATIVE IS STRONG ENOUGH TO OVERCOME THE RESIDUAL LINKS OF THE AFF OR THE ALTERNATIVE IS DOOMED TO FAILURE ANYWAYS.
   3. PERM DO ALL NON-COMPETITIVE PARTS OF THE ALTERNATIVE
   4. PERM SOLVES: WE MUST WORK WITHIN THE SYSTEM TO COMBAT CAPITALISM - GROSSBERG 2003
   5. CAPITALISM IS INEVITABLE DUE TO THE INDUSTRIAL NATURE OF HUMAN SOCIETY - STROMBERG 2004
   6. NEOLIBERALISM IMPROVES QUALITY OF LIFE AND CHECKS ENVIRONMENTAL DESTRUCTION - GOKLANY 2007
   7. INTELLECTUAL PROPERTY RIGHTS ARE KEY TO COMBATING BIO-TERROR AND BIO-WEAPON PREPAREDNESS - BAILEY 2001
   8. X-APPLY TERRORISM = EXTINCTION FROM CASE
   9. CASE OUTWEIGHS 

1AR A/T NEOLIBERALISM KRITIK 

1. NATIONALISM SUSTAINS THE NEOLIBERAL ORDER - HARVEY 7
   2. ALT CAUSES TO NEOLIBERALISM - ?

2AC A/T EUROPEAN UNION COUNTER-PLAN

1. NO SOLVENCY: ONLY THE U.S. HAS THE EXPERTISE LEARNED FROM IRAQ AND AFGHANISTAN TO SOLVE TO THE SITUATION IN LIBYA, THAT'S TRAUB.
   2. PERM DO BOTH - MULTILATERAL SUPPORT PREFERRED BY LIBYAN PEOPLE - BROOKE 2011
   3. SOLVENCY DEFICIT - E.U. SUCKS WHEN IT COMES TO SECURITY ISSUES, AND ARE DEPENDENT ON U.S. LEADERSHIP - PERM SOLVES - WALSH 2011
   4. INTERVENTION D/A: ONLY U.S. SECURITY EFFORTS IN LIBYA WOULD HAVE ENOUGH INFLUENCE TO LESSEN THE THREAT OF TERRORISM, ENERGY DISPARITIES, CONFLICTS BETWEEN HOSTILE STATES AND REGIONAL INSTABILITY - ABSENT U.S. ACTION, WE AND OUR ALLIES WILL PAY THE PRICE IN BLOOD! - THAT'S CORDESMAN.
   5. CP IS ILLEGIT - MULTI-ACTOR FIAT IS BAD
   6. E.U. BAD - U.S. PREFERRED - PERCEPTION - WALSH 2011
   7. THE U.S. NEEDS TO PROVIDE ASSISTANCE AND HELP LIBYA LEARN TO PATROL THE STREETS - KEY TO AVOID COLLAPSE AND PRESERVE U.S. LEADERSHIP - QUINN 8/23/11
   8. LEADERSHIP PREVENTS WAR, SPREADS DEMOCRACY AND PEACE, PROTECTS HUMAN RIGHTS, AND ENCOURAGES ECONOMIC COOPERATION AND GROWTH. - THAYER 6 

Aff: ASU BN

Round #1   Tournament: Shirley

vs: Harvard BS

Judge: Cheek

Plan Text

The United States federal government should fund and establish an office of security cooperation in Libya through which the US will offer programs designed to train Libyan police force.

1ac Advantages

Rogue weapons --> Genocide

Oil --> econ collapse

2ac Offense

Confronting imperialism --> violence

K denies Libyan demands

Democratic education solves corporatization of education

1ar Strategy

Perm

2ar Strategy

Perm

Case outweighs

US physical intervention causes China freak-out - China would perceive physical US intervention in Libya as a move to contain Chinese resources.

Escobar ’11 (Pepe [roving correspondent for Asia Times. His latest book is Obama does Globalistan {Nimble Books, 2009}] “China's interests in Gaddafi” Al Jazeera, 4/14/2011.  http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/04/201141195046788263.html)

Africa is absolutely crucial for China's energy strategy

AND

to take the helm of the entire globe".

Perceived resource containment causes war – more important than Taiwan.

Hatemi and Wedeman, Professor at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln, 2K7 (Peter and Andrew, “Oil and Conflict in Sino-American Relations,” China Security, Summer, Volume 3, Number 3)

As China’s petroleum consumption increases and dependence on

AND

into much more serious geo-strategic conflict.

Escalates to World War III

Amanda R. Bertana, Masters in Sociology @ Humboldt State University, May 2011 (“HEGEMONIC RIVALRY: CHINA’S SCRAMBLE FOR OIL” Master’s Thesis. http://humboldt-dspace.calstate.edu/xmlui/bitstream/handle/2148/718/Formatted%20thesis.pdf?sequence=2)

The question that arises from the ascension of

AND

result in tensions that may result in war.

Contention 1: Inherency

It takes out their DAs but not the aff – Libya needs democratic engagement, not cash

NYT 10/21 (New York Times, “U.S. must have role in shaping new Libya”, 2011, http://www.statesman.com/opinion/u-s-must-have-role-in-shaping-new-1927837.html?viewAsSinglePage=true)

Mahmoud Jibril, …

and peaceful democracy.

Civil war likely in Libya now

Vatutin 12/13 (Alexander, Voice of Russia Correspondent, 2011, http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/12/12/62092662.html)

Warnings from many experts …

it could break up into parts.

Plan Text

The United States federal government should provide democratic governance assistance in Libya.

Advantage 1: Terrorism

Plan’s democratic signal key – prevents global terrorism

Gordon and Zarate 11 – David A. Gordon, Program Manager and a Research Assistant with the CSIS Transnational Threats Project, and Juan C. Zarate, Senior Adviser at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) and the former Deputy National Security Advisor for Combating Terrorism, Summer 2011, “The Battle for Reform with Al-Qaeda,” The Washington Quarterly, Vol. 34, No. 3, p. 103-122

Another immediate counterterrorism …have yet to be radicalized.

AQIM will engage in nuclear terrorism—securing sites is key
 Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 11
 [“After bin Laden: Nuclear terrorism still a top threat”, 5-13-2011, ]
 The evolving threat. … potential source material.

And it’s comparatively more probable than nuclear war
Benson 10
 [Pam Benson, CNN National Security Producer, “Official: Terrorists seek nuclear material, but lack ability to use it,” 4/13/2010,]
 The president's top … to be done internationally."

Advantage 2: Leadership

Failed transition means cross-border violence and domestic and regional instability. 
 Goldsmith in 2008(Arthur A., Professor of Management at the University of Massachusetts Boston, “Making the World Safe for Partial Democracy? Questioning the Premises of Democracy Promotion”, International Security, Vol. 33, no. 2, pp. 120-147, Fall)
 The intellectual foundation … may not add to the risks.

Arab Spring means a decline of US hegemony in the Middle East – support key to perception. 
 Murphy 12/11/11, Brian (AP). “America’s Mideast Shuffle: Map of Influence Reordered by Uprisings.”The Republic. http://www.therepublic.com/view/story/beb29fcc92e44190b47d3d9d4dc5aa56/ML--America-and-the-Arab-Spring/
 Tell sees the Arab Spring …, but no longer Big Brother.

Libya is a test for US credibility – successful transition key to strategic cooperation. 
 Hamid 8/26/2011 [Shadi Hamid is director of research at the Brookings Doha Center and fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution. Libya may be in America's vital interest after all, ]jap 
 That said, the U.S. decision… interests. Not yet, at least.

Heg protects the global economy, prevents great power conflict, terrorism, and nuclear war – no alternatives – intervention is inevitable, only a question of effectiveness 

Kagan 11 contributing editor to The Weekly Standard and a senior fellow in foreign policy at the Brookings Institution, Robert, “The Price of Power”, 1-24, Vol. 16, No. 18, http://www.weeklystandard.com/print/articles/price-power_533696.html, CMR]

Today the international situation … has built and defended.

Contention 2: Solvency

Governance support solves – US leadership key and they’ll pay us back

Wolfowitz 11 (Paul, a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute, has served as deputy U.S. secretary of defense and U.S. ambassador to Indonesia, 11/3, “America's Opportunity in Libya”, http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204394804577011721031265512.html)

Those who opposed … higher price if we do nothing.

Failure of transition in the short-term means the interim government will entrench itself, killing all prospects of a democratic transition
 Allen 10/27/11 (Michael, Editor Democracy Digest, “Libya’s interim leaders ‘could pose threat’ to democratic transition?”
 With Moammar Gaddafi’s death, Libya’s real power struggle has started in earnest.

“We’re under no illusions …  be a period of trial and error.”

Civil war would collapse Libyan oversight of conventional and WMD weapons.

Choksy ‘11(Jamsheed K. Choksy  professor of Central Eurasian, Indian, Iranian, Islamic, International, and Religious studies and former director of the Middle Eastern Studies Program at Indiana University, For a New Libya, Major Challenges Lie Ahead, 24 Aug 2011, http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/9869/for-a-new-libya-major-challenges-lie-ahead)

Parallel to concerns over conventional military hardware is

AND

the former Warsaw Pact and Soviet Union regions.

Specifically spills over to Western Sahara through weapons to Polisario

PR Newswire 11-10-11 http://www.moroccoboard.com/news/5490-brookings-peril-in-north-africa-from-al-qaeda-and-western-sahara-separatists-

Dr. J. Peter Pham, director

AND

Niger, Mali, and especially Algeria. "

Weapons key to PPA resurgence

Abenay 11

http://www.internationalviewpoint.org/spip.php?article2130

 Hassan Abenay is a member of the editorial board of the Moroccan revolutionary Marxist monthly, Almounadil-a.

Unless major events occur within it,

AND

The absence of a political outcome only reinforces this

They will steal back the Bou Craa – causes extinction

Pearce 11 6-7, http://e360.yale.edu/feature/phosphate_a_critical_resource_misused_and_now_running_out/2423/ Fred Pearce is a freelance author and journalist based in the UK. He serves as environmental consultant for New Scientist magazine and is the author of numerous books, including When The Rivers Run Dry and With Speed and Violence. In previous articles for Yale Environment 360, Pearce has written about the environmental consequences of humankind’s addiction to chemical fertilizers and about how agribusiness threatens a critical African wildlife migration.

 If you wanted to really mess with

AND

to mine the rock — or we starve.

Only threat of extinction

Klare, 6

(Peace and World Security Studies-Hampshire College, http://www.waterconserve.org/shared/reader/welcome.aspx?linkid=53710&keybold=water%20land%20conflict)

"As famine, disease, and weather

AND

will escape involvement in these forms of conflict.