1NC EU
CP Text: The European Union should increase its democracy assistance for Yemen by establishing an International Counter Narcotics and Law Enforcement program for Yemen in order to support the rule of law.
US overstreched now and goals too narrowly focused on counter terrorism effort to assist yemen, EU must step up
Mark N. Katz 2011 (Professor of Government and Politics at George Mason University) March 2011 “Yemen after Saleh” http://www.iss.europa.eu/uploads/media/Yemen_after_Saleh.pdf
While this process of shaping the … people of that country as well as the West as a whole.
EU credibility down in ME- only way to revitalize is through true democracy promotion efforts
Times of Malta February 3, 2011 Patrick Cooke “EU ‘has lost all credibility’ on democracy in Middle East”
http://www.timesofmalta.com/articles/view/20110203/local/eu-has-lost-all-credibility-on-democracy-in-middle-east.348320
The European Union lost all credibility … to have real stability and peace in the region,” she said.
EU soft power key to Israel/ Palestinian peace agreement
Dr Hans-Gert Pöttering,(MEP, former President of the European Parliament and Chairman of the Konrad-Adenauer-Stiftung) and Massimo d’Alema 2011(former Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, Italy) THE NEED OF EUROPE IN THE MIDDLE EAST PEACE PROCESS” http://www.kas.de/palaestinensische-gebiete/en/publications/21954/
The European Union bears the … co-existence with Israel should be established
1NC Trade-off
There is a direct trade off in US foreign aid
Clawson, 2000
(Patrick, deputy director for research at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, Middle East Quarterly
June 2000, pp. 43-53, http://www.meforum.org/63/debate-continue-us-aid-to-israel)MKD
MEQ: It's a zero-sum game?
Clawson: The United States is prepared to … 10-percent-sum game.
Latin America is the lowest priority – shifting assistance towards security objectives would come by cutting Latin American programs.
Sanchez, 06 (MARCELA SANCHEZ, 1-28-2006 , "Linking foreign aid and security," Washington Post,) KH
Aid experts inside and outside the … on our national security objectives.”
Perceptually impact triggers instantly
Hyman, 2009
(Gerald F., senior adviser and president of the Hills Program on Governance at CSIS, A Cabinet-level Development
Agency Right Problem, Wrong Solution, January, CSIS, csis.org/files/media/csis/pubs/090121_hyman_cabinet_web.pdf)MKD
The unwarranted optimism about the … an opening for a resource grab and took it.
USAID solves for biodiversity in Latin America
Franco, 2007
(Adolfo A., Assistant Administrator - Bureau for Latin America and the Caribbean United States Agency for International Development, Committee on House Appropriations Subcommittee on State, Foreign Operations and Related Programs, March 28, 2007, CQ Congressional Testimony)MKD
The Latin America and the Caribbean … diversity and environmental services.
Species Loss Risks Extinction
Diner 1994 (Major David N.; Instructor, Administrative and Civil Law Division, The Judge Advocate General's School, United States Army) "The Army and the Endangered Species Act: Who's Endangering Whom?" 143 Mil. L. Rev. 161 l/n WBW
The prime reason is the world's survival. …, species offer many direct and indirect benefits to mankind. 68
1NC Politics
Boehner blocking now
Jonathan Bernstein October 21, 2011 (Private investor and trader for fifteen years, His writing on international energy markets has appeared in such venues as The New York Times and the Baltimore Sun. “China Trade Bill: We've Met The Enemy And He Is Us” http://seekingalpha.com/article/301255-china-trade-bill-we-ve-met-the-enemy-and-he-is-us)
The China Trade Bill sailed … the House passed the bill in 2010 but the Senate did not.)
His PC is key
Reuters October 13th 2011 “Analysis: Boehner stands firm against yuan bill” http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/10/13/us-china-usa-yuan-idUSTRE79B07M20111013
Other tactics may yet be tried. An …, which opposes the China currency legislation
Tea party hates foreign aid
Harvey M. Sapolsky 2010 (Professor of Public Policy and Organization, Emeritus at MIT and was until recently the Director of the MIT Security Studies Program) “ The Tea Party’s Foreign Policy” http://www.e-ir.info/?author=647
Foreign aid and outreach to America’s … hearts and minds in places far from home.
Moves to compromise with Obama on issues like the plan empirically force Bohner to the right on other issues to consolidate support for his speakership- like the currency bill
Boston Globe July 28, 2011 “Boehner can’t please Tea Party, but bipartisan deal could work” http://articles.boston.com/2011-07-28/bostonglobe/29825554_1_tea-party-michele-bachmann-debt-ceiling/2
In Boehner’s mind, his speakership depends … that would be entirely self-inflicted
Vote guarantees passage
Washington Times October 17th 2011 “Washington contemplates tougher China trade policy” http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2011/oct/17/washington-contemplates-tougher-china-trade-policy/
Of course, these are only the … such a bill if it got to his desk.
New tariffs on Chinese goods trigger a trade war
Forbes, 9-17, 10, http://blogs.forbes.com/gordonchang/2010/09/17/the-chinese-currency-weakens
At the hearing, Senator Charles …benefit nobody and damage everybody.
US-China trade war triggers a war
Ben Landy, Ben Landy, Director of Research and Strategy at the Atlantic Media Company, publisher of the Atlantic Monthly, National Journal, and Government Executive magazines. Landy served in various research and project management positions at the Brookings Institution and Center for Strategic and International Studies, two leading public policy think tanks in Washington, D.C. Ben holds a bachelor of arts degree from Yale University. April 3, 2007, http://chinaredux.com/2007/04/03/protectionism-and-war/#comments
The greatest threat for the 21st century … military budgets and anti-satellite tests
HOT WAR WITH CHINA ENSURES EXTINCTION
(STRAIT TIMES, June 25, 2K, Pg. l/n)
THE high-intensity scenario postulates … come to pass, we would see the destruction of civilization.
1NC Feminism IR K
U.S. led democracy assistance necessitates the exclusion of the feminine by exporting the inherent gender bias of Western political theory and naturalizing already existing patriarchal structures
Handrahan 1 (Lori M., Prof @ American U, International Center for Gender Studies, Gendering Ethnicity: Implications for Democracy Assistance, pg. 73-74//shree)
Moreover, feminists have argued … supported by USAID funds were 100% mean (Zairash 1998).
Patriarchy results in structural violence
Bunch 90 – She founded the Center for Women's Global Leadership, recipient of the Eleanor Roosevelt Award for Human Rights, currently a member of the Advisory Committee for the Human Rights Watch Women's Rights Division, recently served on the Advisory Committee for the Secretary General’s 2006 Report to the General Assembly on Violence against Women (Charlotte, “Women’s Rights as Human Rights: Towards a Re-Vision of Human Rights”, http://www.jstor.org/stable/762496]
The most insidious myth about … brutal violation of their bodies.
We instead choose to adopt a feminist curiosity that challenges traditional notions of political decision making. Only this curiosity can solve for the root causes of gendered politics
Enloe, 2007
(Cynthia, Research Professor, Globalization and Militarism: Feminists Make the Link, Department of International Development, Community, and Environment and Women's Studies, Clark University, p. 17)MKD
To make sense of today's complex … world "works" the way it does.
1NC Qat PIC
Cp Text: The United States Federal government should increase its democracy assistance for Yemen by establishing an International Counter Narcotics and Law Enforcement program for Yemen in order to support the rule of law, but should exempt qat
Competition- Us law codifies qat as illegal
Guardian 2004 (05 February http://biopsychiatry.com/methcathinone/qat-khat.html)
In the United States, Canada and … without much difficulty.
Qat key to stopping terrorism
Michael Horton (Senior Analyst for Arabian Affairs at The Jamestown Foundation Mr. Horton studied Middle East History and Economics at the American University of Cairo and Arabic at the Center for Arabic Language and Eastern Studies in Yemen. ) April 27th 2011 “Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula: Challenges and opportunities in Revolutionary Yemen” http://pakteahouse.net/2011/04/27/al-qaeda-in-the-arabian-peninsula-challenges-and-opportunities-in-revolutionary-yemen/
There are a number of reasons why a … also has a moderating effect that should not be underestimated
1NC Stability Advantage
No solvency and Yemeni people say no- upset over past us actions
Gundun, US Spokesman for Yemen’s Coordinating Council for the Youth Revolution of Change, 2011
(James, “Commentary: Out of the fry pan,” Al Ahram Weekly, 21 - 27 July 2011 Issue No. 1057, http://weekly.ahram.org.eg/2011/1057/re9.htm) JDB
The White House and State Department … their country from tyranny and foreign interference.
Tribal law and reliance on military wages serves as a backstop preventing complete collapse of Yemen into chaos.
Dr. Steve C. Caton August 11, 2010 (Professor of Contemporary Arab Studies in the Department of Anthropology at Harvard University) “Yemen: not on the verge of collapse” http://www.pomeps.org/wp-content/uploads/2011/03/POMEPS_BriefBooklet3_Yemen_WEB-Rev.pdf
The power of the tribes in Yemen is … more accurate understandings of them.
Alt cause to instability- governmental grievances
Harris 2010 (Alistair former diplomat and UN staff member Exploiting Grievances Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula YEMEN: ON THE BRINK A Carnegie Paper Series may)
Military and law enforcement responses to the threat posed … for actual and perceived grievances.
( ) No impact to oil shocks
(A) History proves we can adapt
Kahn 11 (2/13/11, Jeremy, Boston Globe, “Crude reality”, http://articles.boston.com/2011-02-13/news/29336191_1_crude-oil-shocks-major-oil-producers)
Among those asking this tough …costs account for only tiny fraction of the price of oil.
(B) Markets will adjust
Layne 6 (Christopher, Associate Professor of International Affairs – Texas A&M University, The Peace of Illusions: American Grand Strategy from 1940 to the Present, p. 178-179)
Domestic instability in a major … naturalmarketplace level.
( ) Global spare capacity is huge – zero risk of serious shortages
Gholz and Press 8 (Eugene, Professor of Public Affairs – University of Texas at Austin, and Daryl G., Professor of Government – Dartmouth College, “All the Oil We Need”, The New York Times, 8-21, Lexis)
WHILE oil prices have declined … lost barrel for eight months.
Closure of Bab-el Mandeb would have negligible effect on the world economy
Philip Auerswald 2010 (Associate Professor, School of Public Policy, George Mason University) “Pact on the United States of Closure of the Strait of Hormuz” http://www.slideshare.net/auerswald/impact-on-the-united-states-of-closure-of-the-strait-of-hormuz
The arteries of commerce that … prices in slightly more than six months.
Costs of transporting oil are negligible
Philip Auerswald 2010 (Associate Professor, School of Public Policy, George Mason University) “Pact on the United States of Closure of the Strait of Hormuz” http://www.slideshare.net/auerswald/impact-on-the-united-states-of-closure-of-the-strait-of-hormuz
In today’s globalised world it is … than one U.S. cent per liter.
1NC Saudi- Relations Advantage
- Even with Arab Spring tensions US-Saudi Arabia relations remain high
Christopher Boucek, U.S.-Saudi Relations in the Shadow of the Arab Spring, June 21, 2011, The Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
http://www.carnegieendowment.org/2011/06/21/u.s.-saudi-relations-in-shadow-of-arab-spring/1s3, Christopher Boucek is an associate in the Carnegie Middle East Program where his research focuses on security challenges in the Arabian Peninsula and Northern Africa. He is a leading authority on disengagement and rehabilitation programs for Islamist militants and extremists and a recognized expert on terrorism, security, and stability issues in Saudi Arabia and Yemen.
Tensions between the United States … Arabia on areas of mutual interest.
Link - Saudi Arabia will hate the plan and intervene – tanks relations and solvency
Nasr, Professor of International Politics at Tufts, 2011
(Vali, “Will the Saudis Kill the Arab Spring?” Bloomberg News, 5/23/11, http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-05-23/will-the-saudis-kill-the-arab-spring-.html) JDB
The kingdom has emerged as the leader of a … Morocco, which qualify on neither count.
Relations resiliant
OTTAWAY 2011 (DAVID senior scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and a former Washington Post Middle East correspondent. Uncle Sam and the Saudi SplitWhy is the House of Saud risking its hard-won relationship with Washington over the Palestine statehood issue? SEPTEMBER 23, 2011 http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/09/23/uncle_sam_and_the_saudi_split?print=yes&hidecomments=yes&page=full)
King Abdullah then cast about for … protect them against a nuclear-armed Iran.
Iran proliferation unlikely – even if Iran gets nukes it won’t use them
Waltz, Professor of International Relations at UC Berkeley, 2007
(Kenneth, Journal of International Affairs, "A Nuclear Iran: Promoting Stability or Courting Disaster?”, http://iis-db.stanford.edu/pubs/21918/Sagan_Nuclear_Iran.pdf)
First, nuclear proliferation is … the Cultural Revolution--behaves with such caution.
Iran won’t proliferate - capability
Fitzpatrick 2011
(Mark Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme
The International Institute for Strategic Studies, London Thursday 3 February 2011http://www.iiss.org/publications/strategic-dossiers/irans-nuclear-chemical-and-biological-capabilities/press-statement/)
The most pressing proliferation concern … its ability to rapidly expand uranium production.
No impact to Iran prolif – communication networks
Sadr 2005
(Ehsaneh I. Sadr graduate student in the department of government and politics at the University of Maryland, College Park) SUMMER 2005 “THE IMPACT OF IRAN’S NUCLEARIZATION ON ISRAEL” MIDDLE EAST POLICY, VOL. XII, NO. 2
The above analysis indicates …Israel into its neighborhood.
Iran does not have a nuclear weapons program
Press TV 2011 (IAEA Director: Iran has no arms program http://www.presstv.ir/detail/168765.html)
The director general of the International … peaceful nuclear energy under international law.
